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Latest NHC Discussion

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 124 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

As of 23/1500 UTC...the remnants of T.D. Three are centered near 29.0N 80.0W, moving N at 15 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. The low should remain offshore the coast of the southeastern United States and dissipate by 24/0000 UTC. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the Bahamas through tonight. At this time, scattered moderate convection is north of 24N between 73W-80W. See the last NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has been introduced to this analysis, with axis extending along 24W from 02N-19N. This wave is well depicted in model guidance and satellite imagery. Scattered moderate convection prevails east of the wave from from 07N-10N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 45W from 02N-22N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are from 08N- 10N between 40W-50W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 53W from 02N-19N, moving west at 10-15 kt. This wave is embedded within the middle of a strong outbreak of Saharan dust, therefore no convection is present at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave with axis along 65W from 05N- 20N, is moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are noted inland over the southern portion of the wave currently moving across Venezuela.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N, moving W at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is over Hispaniola. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is over W Venezuela and N Colombia.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 18N16W to 09N36W. The ITCZ extends from 08N43W to 10N44W, then resumes west of a tropical wave near 09N47W to 08N53W. Aside from the showers mentioned in the tropical wave section above, scattered showers are noted along the ITCZ.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Weak surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored over the west Atlantic. A 1014 mb surface low is centered over the Texas coastline, with frontal boundary extending along the coast and reaching northern Mexico. Scattered moderate convection is developing ahead of the front across the northwest Gulf, mainly north of 26N and west of 92W. Gentle to moderate winds prevail across the basin.

The cold front will move into the northern Gulf of Mexico through Wed, with moderate to fresh N to NE winds prevailing behind the front. The front will stall from the Florida Big Bend to near Brownsville on Wed night, then dissipate through Thu. Weak high pressure will build over the NE Gulf Fri and Sat. A surface trough will move off the Yucatan Peninsula each night, supporting fresh to occasionally strong winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Two tropical waves are over the basin. Refer to the section above for details.

Scattered moderate convection prevails across the south-central Caribbean in the vicinity of the monsoon trough south of 10N between 76W-81W. This activity is also affecting portions of Central America. Scatterometer data depicts moderate to fresh trades across the basin, with highest winds over the south central Caribbean.

High pressure north of the area will maintain pulsing fresh to strong trades in the south-central Caribbean through Sat, becoming near-gale force along the coast of Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela at night. Strong winds will develop south of Hispaniola beginning on Thu as high pressure strengthens. The next tropical wave will cross the Windward Islands by late Wed night and move over the eastern Caribbean on Thu, resulting in fresh to strong winds behind the wave axis.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for more information on the former T.D Three. Two tropical waves are also over the Atlantic. See the section above for details.

Surface ridge extends along 29N covering the basin, anchored by a 1024 mb high near 29N60W and a 1025 mb high near 29N35W.

The remnants of T.D. Three near 29.0N 80.0W 1014 mb at 11 AM EDT are moving N at 15 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. T.D. Three will dissipate by this evening. A cold front will move into the NW waters by Thu, become stationary Thu night, then gradually weaken over the NW portion Fri and Sat.

For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine



Updated : 23/07/2019 19:59:01

2019 Storm Names

Storm Storm Name Storm Status
3
Chantal Allocated
4
Dorian Allocated
5
Erin Allocated
6
Fernand Allocated
7
Gabrielle Allocated
8
Humberto Allocated
9
Ingrid Allocated
11
Jerry Allocated
12
Karen Allocated
13
Lorenzo Allocated
14
Melissa Allocated
15
Nestor Allocated
16
Olga Allocated
17
Pablo Allocated
18
Rebekah Allocated
19
Sebastien Allocated
20
Tanya Allocated
21
Van Allocated
22
Wendy Allocated
23
Alpha Allocated
24
Beta Allocated
25
Gamma Allocated
26
Delta Allocated
27
Epsilon Allocated
28
Zeta Allocated

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