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Latest NHC Discussion

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 610 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...Gale Warning in the Gulf of Mexico...

A cold front extends across the Gulf of Mexico from 30N85W to 18N92W. Gale-force NW to N winds will continue N of 24N and E of the front through the next 24 hours. For additional information, please read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

...Gale Warning in the South-Central Caribbean...

Strong high pressure north of the area will maintain strong NE winds over much of the Caribbean through tonight, with gale- force winds expected near the coast of Colombia. These conditions will continue through 1200 UTC today. For additional information, please read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

...Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic...

A cold front will move off the Florida coast into the SW N Atlantic today. Strong SW winds ahead of the front are forecast to increase to gale-force this morning N of 29N and W of 77W. The winds will decrease to below gale-force by 0000 UTC Fri. For additional information, please read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

...Gale Winds Expected Near the Coast of Morocco...

Meteo France is forecasting ongoing gale-force winds through the morning hours near the coast of Morocco in the marine zone AGADIR. For additional information, please visit the Meteo France website at http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions- meteo- marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough emerges from the coast of Liberia in western Africa near 10N14W and extends to 02N22W. The ITCZ continues from that point to the coast of Brazil near 03N42W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along and in the vicinity of the ITCZ from 00N-07N between 20W-40W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1032 mb surface high is centered over the northeast Atlantic with a ridge axis extending southwestward over Florida into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. A strengthening low pressure system is centered over northern Georgia and is dragging its cold front over the Gulf. The front currently extends from 30N85W to 19N92W. Gale-force winds are currently ongoing ahead the front over a portion of the northeast Gulf waters. Refer to the Special Features section above for more details. Strong to near gale-force winds cover the remainder of the Gulf. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are organized in a line within 150 nm E of the front mainly N of 24N.

The cold front will continue to move across the Gulf waters today, shifting E of the area through the next 18 hours. Winds and seas will diminish across the Gulf on today as the front moves southeast of the region. Winds and seas will increase this weekend as another frontal boundary moves through the basin.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A 1032 mb high pressure north of the area is inducing widespread fresh to strong trade winds over most of the Caribbean basin. Earlier scatterometer data showed gale-force winds near the coast of Colombia. Expect for these winds to prevail through tonight, with gale-force winds pulsing off of Colombia's coast through this morning. Refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Winds and seas will diminish late in the week as the high pressure shifts east ahead of another cold front. This cold front is expected to move into the northwest Caribbean by late Thu. The front will stall and dissipate from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras by late Fri.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Surface ridging prevails across the west Atlantic. To the east, a cold front extends from 31N38W to 23N44W to 21N53W. It continues as a stationary front from 21N53W to 19N63W. Scattered moderate convection is N of 25N between 33W-38W. Surface ridging extending from high pressure N of the Azores prevails across the eastern Atlantic.

The cold front over the central Atlantic will weaken late this week. High pressure building in the wake of the front will maintain fresh to strong winds over the central Atlantic waters through tonight. High pressure over the western Atlantic will shift eastward ahead of a cold front moving off the coast of Florida today. Southerly gale-force winds will prevail N of 29N W of 77W. Refer to the Special Features section for more details. This front will stall and dissipate from Bermuda to eastern Cuba by Sat. A weak reinforcing front will move off northeast Florida by late Sat, and reach from Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by late Sun.

For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine



Updated : 24/01/2019 11:59:02

2019 Storm Names

Storm Storm Name Storm Status
1
Andrea Allocated
2
Barry Allocated
3
Chantal Allocated
4
Dorian Allocated
5
Erin Allocated
6
Fernand Allocated
7
Gabrielle Allocated
8
Humberto Allocated
9
Ingrid Allocated
11
Jerry Allocated
12
Karen Allocated
13
Lorenzo Allocated
14
Melissa Allocated
15
Nestor Allocated
16
Olga Allocated
17
Pablo Allocated
18
Rebekah Allocated
19
Sebastien Allocated
20
Tanya Allocated
21
Van Allocated
22
Wendy Allocated
23
Alpha Allocated
24
Beta Allocated
25
Gamma Allocated
26
Delta Allocated
27
Epsilon Allocated
28
Zeta Allocated

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The Atlantic Hurricane season runs from June 1st through to November 30th every year.

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