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Last 6 Issued Forecasts
The Metcheck forecast for March 2017 is now available for PREMIUM members.

CLICK HERE to log in to view it. The forecast will be on general view from midday on the 25th of February 2017.

February 2017 : Wet & Windy Start. Settled but Snow Returns



Issued : Jan 25 2017

Forecast

We are expecting a month of three main weather patterns across the UK in February. An unsettled start to the month is expected as the Atlantic becomes the dominant driving force for the weather.

A mid month respite is expected with high pressure building across the UK bringing dry and cold weather to many areas. Depending on where the high pressure resides it's possible we could see some very sharp overnight frosts.

The end of the month is expected to return to unsettled weather with low pressure bringing gales to all areas. Towards the end of the month we are expecting Northerly winds to dominate the weather bringing an increased risk of snow across Scotland and Northern England with hill snow further South.


January 2017 : Mixed Start To 2017 But Cold Later



Issued : Dec 25 2016

Forecast

A rather mixed start to the new year is expected with high pressure hanging on across Southern parts of the UK but wet and windy weather continuing to affect Northwestern parts.

Becoming more settled around mid month as high pressure begins to dominate the weather. Some uncertainty regarding the position of the high and it's possible that if further North we could see colder air come in from the East across parts of England and Wales.

A much colder and unsettled end to the month is expected with frequent outbreaks of polar/arctic air from the North and Northeast. Depending on the storm track for the end of the month it's possible significant snow amounts could fall across Southern England. However, at present we anticipate the storm track to be slightly further North.


December 2016 : Mixed Month : Drier with Frosts Mid-Month



Issued : Nov 25 2016

Forecast

A really tricky month to forecast as many of the mid latitude patterns this Autumn have been poorly handled by the numerical models.

We are expecting a rather mixed start to the month with high pressure hanging on across Southern areas but still the risk of wet and windy periods as low pressure areas approach from the Northwest.

High pressure is expected to build across the country for mid month bringing a colder, drier and frosty period of weather.

For the end of the month we expect a return to more unsettled conditions with low pressure areas once again approaching from the Northwest. Overall there is low confidence in the forecast for this month due to ongoing uncertainty with the polar vortex and this will play a larger or smaller role in the weather across Western Europe.

Result

Frosts and fog with high pressure in control was the dominating factor for much of the first half of the month.

Turned unsettled towards the end, in particular around the festive period with Storms Barbara and Conor affecting the UK with colder air bringing snow for Scottish high ground.


November 2016 : Blocking Persists but Stormy End



Issued : Oct 25 2016

Forecast

An easterly influence to the start of the month as the continental high continues to affect the UK weather.

Early in the month we are expecting high pressure from Greenland to link up with the continental high bringing a period of dry, calm weather across much of the UK with overnight frosts and fog. Some rain bands are still expected to affect the far Northwest of the British Isles.

Towards the end of the month we expect the Atlantic to return with stormy weather for Scotland and Northern Ireland and wet and windy weather for all other areas.


October 2016 : Wet Start, Drier later. Gales For End.



Issued : Sep 25 2016

Forecast

A mixed October is expected for this year with the continuing dominance of the Atlantic for the start of the month with wet and windy weather expected across many areas.

For the middle of the month we are expected high pressure to build across the country bringing frosts for Northern areas including Scotland and Northern Ireland and mist/fog overnight for much of England and Wales. Drier and brighter for the daytime across much of England and Wales after overnight mist/fog has burnt off and feeling milder too.

The end of the month is expected to see the Atlantic return with some wet and very windy weather coming in from the West.


September 2016 : Uncertain Start but Atlantic Fires Up Later



Issued : Aug 25 2016

Forecast

There remains a large amount of uncertainty regarding the start of September. This is due to the remnants of Hurricane Gaston which may bring initially a very unsettled start to the month. If Gaston tracks to the North of the UK then high pressure is expected to be the dominant feature. If Gaston tracks across or to the South of the UK then an unsettled start of the month is expected before high pressure returns in the first week.

For the second half of the month we expect the Atlantic to dominate, bringing early Autumn gales across the UK and Ireland. Early indications suggest more Southerly tracking systems than usual which would bring wet and windy weather across England and Wales too.

Help & Information

Metcheck aren't just a load of weather geeks who run computers and make pretty charts... Our in house meteorologists look at pressure trends and patterns developing across Europe and every 25th day of the month at midday we release an outlook for the following month.

Every month on the 25th day at midday Metcheck release their forecast for the following month.

These are currently experimental and should be taken as such. However, we try to break the month down into the most notable weather types expected.

After the month has finished we release the results to show whether the forecast was accurate or not.



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