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Variable Cloud

  • Variable Cloud

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  • Sunset over Newry, Co. Down

    Sunset over Newry, Co. Down sent in by Kelly Redmond

High pressure is now taking control of the weather across the UK and looks set to be the dominant feature for the foreseeable future as it meanders around close to or over the country. There will be some variable amounts of cloud around at times as the remnants of old weather fronts have got caught up under the high, but on the whole it's a pretty good outlook for the coming days.

This morning is starting off rather cloudy across many central and eastern parts of England whilst there is also a fair amount of cloud across Northern Ireland, northern and western Scotland with only a few sunny spells around. Elsewhere there is more in the way of sunshine to be had and as we go through today most places will see the cloud breaking up to allow bright or sunny intervals to appear although there will continue to be variable amounts of cloud drifting around, the thickest of which could bring the odd isolated shower or some drizzle. Temperatures for many parts will be close to normal, but where the sunshine breaks through for any period of time it will become quite warm with maximums of 21C or 22C whilst winds will be light.

Tonight will remain dry in most areas with variable amounts of cloud and some mist or fog patches forming in places but temperatures shouldn't drop too much. Where the cloud is thickest, a few spots of light rain or drizzle may break out. Looking ahead to tomorrow and it will be another dry day for most places with some warm sunny spells at times, but there will still be some cloud hanging around, the thickest of which may bring the odd scattered shower in places.

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Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (3)

It's Stratospheric Baby!

Yeah, the cow's back! Right, looking more than likely now as though high pressure will build across the UK for the first half of September. However, meteorologically speaking there are plenty of other changes afoot which are worth taking a look at.

September is usually a month of two contrasts. You know the whole Lion/Lamb thing? Well, it's pretty much a similar kind of event with September. The difference is that September, like March, sees the Northern Hemisphere start to take on a wider contrasts in air masses. The North Pole starts to cool as daylight finishes for the Summer, whilst the equator is still as warm as ever.

There are also some strange goings on in the upper stratosphere over the North Pole too as the Polar Vortex starts to become established. As a result we will start to see the jet stream across the Atlantic start to intensify during the next two or three weeks. So, no wet and wild weather just yet, but think of it as the Atlantic just popping down the gym for a fortnight and will be working out. Get ready to see it flex those new muscles in a couple of weeks or so....

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Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (2)

Careful Chart Watchers!

Worth being a little cautious with model output at the moment with regards to following things like "How long will the high pressure last?", "It will breakdown by the weekend (courtesy of BBC Breakfast)" etc.

The overarching factor of the weather this week will be a strong upper ridge which will serve to promote any high pressure areas which reside beneath it. However, as we enter the first day of meteorological Autumn, so the Atlantic starts to throw in some potent disturbances in the form of ex-hurricanes and areas of tropical weather which serve to confuse the models.

These small, but potent systems have huge knock on effects with regards to the development of highs, their positioning and intensity. If one model run develops a tropical system then in turn our high pressure areas will be "pumped up" to the North of them. But if they don't develop them then it opens the window to areas of low pressure from the North-west.

So, any forecaster who confidently tells you what the weather will be like next week is worth grabbing and asking if you can get the numbers for Saturdays lotto draw too!

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