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25
Apr
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25
Apr
08:42


Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (2)

Sparky Saturday? Worth Watching...

Sparky Saturday? Worth Watching...

Remember sometimes how we say the weather is a bit like a cake recipe? You can have all the ingredients there and even in the right quantities, but all it takes is someone opening the back door or perhaps getting the temperature wrong (or leaving a tray of old chips in there! Done that!) to make the whole thing not work out properly.

Today we have an interesting situation. Cold air is heading South behind a rather active frontal system. This in itself isn't what we would call a "trigger" but the moist air across the Southwest and Southern England combined with daytime heating certainly are. The best data we can get in the mornings are from upper air balloon soundings which some poor sod had to release at 6am this morning in Camborne in Cornwall.

The data from this sounding tells us that there is potential at the surface for low level moisture to engage with that frontal system which is heading in from the North. As it's late April the sun is pretty strong and will heat up the land pretty quickly during the day. This will cause the land to warm and sea breezes to develop along the Southwest peninsular, in particular Devon and North Somerset. All these ingredients create the potential for some intense thunderstorms across the Southwest later this afternoon and then into this evening we will find these developing across Southern and Central England and into East Anglia as the cold front clears South.

Remember the tray of old chips? That's low level cloud across the South. Too much of this and daytime heating will be restricted meaning that temperatures may not be high enough to create sea breezes and in turn uplift to create the storms. But if the cloud does break early then watch the skies!

The ingredients and potential are there... now it's a case of sitting and waiting for our cake to bake. We will send you a slice if the storms develop....

FORECASTER : MARSH

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25
Apr
06:13


Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (0)

Rain Or Showers



Low pressure is now becoming increasingly influential across much of the UK and is set to dominate the weather for several days to come meaning that all areas will see some rain or showers developing along with cooler conditions. The cool and changeable theme then looks like lasting for the rest of the month which will come as something of a shock following the recent fine and warm weather.

To start with this morning a band of cloud and rain is affecting parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland and this rain will slowly sink southwards today, reaching northern parts of England and North Wales by this evening allowing much colder but brighter conditions across northwest Scotland to follow on, although some showers will develop and these may turn wintry in places. Meanwhile to the south of the rain band, across the rest of England and Wales, there will be some warm sunny spells around for a time today but there will be an increasing risk of showers breaking out this afternoon and evening, these potentially turning heavy and thundery in places later on, most likely over the Midlands and into East Anglia. Top temperatures today will range from 14°C to 18°C across England and Wales, but turning colder in the north with parts of northwest Scotland only seeing highs of 6°C to 9°C and feeling colder here as a northerly wind picks up.

Tonight sees heavy, thundery showers across central and southern regions continuing for a time whilst the band of cloud and rain further north slips south so that by the end of the night central, southern and south-eastern parts of England will be rather cloudy with some rain at times. To the north it will be cold with scattered showers in the far north and west turning wintry in places, whilst a touch of frost will also form, but for the south it will stay mild with temperatures staying in double figures. Sunday will see cloud and rain across southern and south-eastern England only slowly slipping away to the southeast so it could be damp for the London Marathon, but elsewhere it will be a bright but colder day with sunny spells and showers developing, some of the showers turning heavy with hail and thunder whilst falling as sleet or snow in the north.

FORECASTER: BARBER

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24
Apr
09:05


Metcheck Forecast Team Article Comments (5)

Maureen Love?! Where's my big jumper?



If you are a devoted Metchecker (and we mean devoted!) then you (or Maureen) will already have got your big jumper back down from the loft (or wherever it is you store it) as you knew the colder weather was coming a while back.

A really major pattern change is coming across Western Europe over this weekend and into next week with a return of frosts, hail, sleet and yes, perhaps snow even for a time across higher ground across the UK. You'll be fine though, in your big jumper and thermostat ready to nudge back up to 21c. But you (as a devoted Metchecker) have a duty this weekend and into next week.

Whilst you will be walking around all snuggled up, warm and cosy, there will be plenty of others who have never used Metcheck who will still be wearing shorts and perhaps t-shirts*, totally oblivious to how the weather was set to change in such a dramatic way.

Your duty is firstly to look smug (mandatory) (as they will be freezing and look very grumpy). Then, let them know they should have used Metcheck before giving them a comforting hug (optional) and a reassuring smile (optional).

* Not applicable to Cornwall where this is standard dress 24/7/365

FORECASTER : BLAIR

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Apr
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