Metcheck.com - Global Weather Forecasts - [Updated on 04 February 2012 at 3:00] - Weather Feeds - Live Data

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GFS 5 Day Ensemble Confidence Charts

This area allows you to see what each of the 14 ensemble runs are forecasting for five days from now.

This allows you to view the confidence in the run and whether there is general agreement as to what the synoptic charts will be like in 5 days from now.

Model Data

Forecast for : Wednesday 12 October 2011 : 00Z

Ensemble Runs

Run 1	Run 2	Run 3	Run 4	Run 5	Run 6	Run 7
Run 8	Run 9	Run 10	Run 11	Run 12	Run 13	Run 14

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The GFS model is run 14 times for each model run. This creates what we call "ensemble members". By using this feature you can access what each of the ensemble members is forecasting 5 days from now. This should be able to provide you with a range of various outcomes and allow you to see the level of confidence in the outcome.

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