Run Up To ChristmasAdded : Saturday at 15:20 If you're like us and have been caught out by Christmas fast approaching but still have the shopping and preparations to do then you'll be glad to know that the next few days are looking drier than of late. That's not to say it's going to be settled, but certainly there will be more in the way of drier and brighter interludes around.
If we take a look at the forecast synoptic chart for tomorrow:
On the face of it, it's another unsettled chart with a large upper trough well and truly in charge. However, many parts of Britain and Ireland are actually clear of any fronts or troughs so there will be some dry and bright weather around. Showers will feed into western regions though on the wind so your best chance of staying dry will be if you're in more sheltered central and eastern regions:
Moving onto Monday and the general pattern isn't too different - low pressure is still close by but it's not as deep and there's no active frontal systems moving in so any precipitation will again be in the form of showers rather than anything too persistent or prolonged:
As we head into Christmas Eve, confidence decreases a touch as there is the potential for a frontal system to push eastwards across the south:
The uncertainty lies over the track of this feature. The GFS ► model brings rain across many parts of Ireland, England and Wales during Christmas Eve:
The ICON model isn't too dissimilar, but tends to move the system through a bit quicker:
Meanwhile, the Arpege model is a bit slower in terms of timings and keeps the rain a little further south too:
Still some finer details to be determined for Christmas Eve then but by the time we reach Christmas Day there is reasonable agreement from the model output of high pressure ridging in to bring plenty of dry and bright weather for the big day itself with any showers mainly reserved for the north and northeast:
METEOROLOGIST: BARBER |