The overall synoptic pattern today isn’t too different to that of yesterday with high pressure away to the northeast continuing to fend off a frontal system that’s trying to push in from the west. However, this system is affecting south-western regions of Britain and Ireland, becoming slow-moving as the area of low pressure it's associated with struggles to make inroads, but eventually it will make its way north to affect many areas by the end of tomorrow.
Many parts of the country away from the southwest are starting off dry this morning although there are a few showers running onto eastern and north-eastern coasts on the east/south-easterly breeze. For most places it will remain dry today with variable amounts of cloud and some bright or sunny intervals developing at times although the risk of showers will continue in the northeast. Meanwhile, the rain across the southwest of England and into southern Ireland will continue on and off today, perhaps turning heavy at times, and only slowly drifting a little further northwards during the course of the day. Here it will become rather mild with temperatures of 9°C to 11°C, but it will be colder further to the north and east with the wind making it feel chilly.
Changes tonight will continue to be slow with that rain continuing to edge northwards, reaching parts of Northern Ireland, Wales, the Midlands and eastern England by the morning. Further to the north it will stay dry with some patchy frost where skies clear but the breeze will tend to help hold temperatures above freezing in most areas whilst a few showers continue across eastern coasts. Tomorrow sees that rain band continuing on its journey northwards with further spells of rain or showers following into the south as the working week ends on a changeable note.
METEOROLOGIST: BARBER
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