You probably don't need us to tell you that it has been a chilly mid-month period with widespread frosts and, for some, snow but the cold weather hasn't been anything too out of the ordinary for winter. Indeed, for many places it's been a sunny few days despite the chilly temperatures and in the sunshine and out of the breeze it hasn't actually felt too bad.
The weather is on the change again now as pressure rises across the country and it is this area of high pressure that will determine the coming week's weather. Initially that ridge is going to help to keep parts of southern and eastern England on the chilly side with overnight frost and fog but for northern and western regions of the UK and Ireland a transition to milder and cloudier conditions is underway as we start to draw in a flow from off the north Atlantic.
The positioning and orientation of this area of high pressure will be fundamental in deciding what weather we see during the coming week. For the start of the week it will be centred close to and across the south of the country so here comes the greatest risk of overnight frost and fog which will give way to bright or sunny spells during the day. Further to the north and west though there will be more of a breeze coming in off the Atlantic which will bring more cloud and subsequently reduce the risk of frost and fog.
However, from the middle of the week that high looks like it will set up shop to our west or southwest which will pave the way for weak fronts to sink southeast during the second half of the week. With that high nearby though rainfall amounts shouldn't be too significant so for most regions the gradual drying out theme will continue which will come as a relief for those regions that were affected by flooding earlier in the month.
METEOROLOGIST: BARBER
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