Remaining Changeable Through Next WeekAdded : Saturday at 14:30 We're almost at the mid-point of August which is a time when many people begin to turn their thoughts towards autumn as the evenings become noticeably darker and the potential for significant heat begins to wane. That's not to say some very warm or hot weather isn't possible - even into October temperatures into the high twenties are possible.
Those thoughts of autumn have come early for some this year and it's not a surprise when you look at the synoptic chart from earlier today:
That really is an unseasonably deep low for the first half of August and it's bringing heavy rain to some areas and gale force winds to others. The strongest winds are across southern regions on the southern flank of that low with a gust to 68 MPH having been recorded at Mumbles. Even for more inland regions gusts in the range of 45-55 MPH are not common at this time of year and are bringing some problems.
This low will gradually pull away across towards Scandinavia during the next couple of days, but will continue to bring showers to parts of the country although on the whole with winds easing and more in the way of drier spells around then conditions won't be as unsettled as they are today:
Indeed, the start of next week doesn't look too bad for many areas although the shower risk won't be completely gone, and temperatures will be close to or perhaps just a shade below normal, even for the far southeast where it has remained pretty warm recently:
Nights will also become fresher with minimums dipping back into single figures away from towns and cities, and there could even be a touch of ground frost in the Scottish glens.:
Looking further on into the week and low pressure looks set to move back in from the west bringing more rain with it. There's still some uncertainty, but a feature moving in on Wednesday could bring a wet day to parts of central and southern Britain:
Showers then affect many regions on Thursday:
Before another potentially deep low arrives by the end of the week:
However, it's worth noting that the ECMWF ► model has a much shallower feature so some considerable differences over this:
Nonetheless, the main theme is for the rather changeable theme to continue but there will be some drier and brighter spells too so it's not all bad news.
METEOROLOGIST: BARBER |