Global Radar 
WORLD RADAR IMAGES
Global Radar Archive 
ARCHIVED IMAGES
Precipitype 
CURRENT RAIN/SNOW
Radar 
LATEST RADAR IMAGES
Radar Archive 
ARCHIVED IMAGES
Settling Snow Radar 
MELT OR SETTLE?
Storm Radar 
STORMS POSSIBLE?
Tornado Radar 
TORNADOES POSSIBLE?
Upwind Rainfall 
RAIN UPWIND OF YOU
Wind Radar 
WET N WINDY
Airmass 
AIRMASS SATELLITE IMAGES
Cloud Height Satellite 
HOW HIGH IS THAT?
Cloud Type Satellite 
FLUFFY OR NOT?
Fog Satellite 
FOGGYSAT
Global Satellite 
WORLD SATELLITE IMAGES
IR Satellite 
HI RES IR SATELLITE
Satellite Archive 
ARCHIVED IMAGES
Snow Satellite 
SPACE LAMPPOSTS
Storm Satellite 
THUNDERSTORM SATELLITE
Visible Satellite 
HI RES VISIBLE SATELLITE
Water Vapour Satellite 
HI RES WV SATELLITE
CycloneTracker 
TRACK ATLANTIC CYCLONES
Hurricane Centre 
LATEST ATLANTIC HURRICANES
Hurricane Hunters 
LIVE DATA
Live Aeroplane Data 
LIVE AMDAR DATA
Live Weather Map 
LIVE WEATHER PLOTTED ON A MAP
METAR/TAF 
AIRPORT WEATHER
Observation Archive 
ARCHIVED DATA
Rainfall Archive 
DID IT RAIN?
StormTracker 
THUNDERSTORM TRACKER LIVE
WeatherCams 
EYE SPY
Lightning Archive 
ARCHIVED DATA
Lightning Strikes 
LIVE LIGHTNING STRIKES
Past Hour Lightning 
LAST HOUR
Yesterdays Global Lightning 
BANG! CRASH!
Aurora Forecast 
NORTHERN LIGHTS
Latest Sun Image 
BIG YELLOW BALL
Space Station Passes 
TIMES/WEATHER ISS
Sun/Moon Times 
SUN/MOON TIMES AND PHASES
FogScanner 
PLAY MISTY FOR ME
GaleScanner 
BIT BLOWY
Rain Scanner 
RISK OF RAIN
Snow Scanner 
RISK OF SNOW
Storm Scanner 
RISK OF STORMS
Above Me Now 
WHERE EAGLES FLY
Atlantic Storms 
OUR STORM NAMES
Freezing Level 
SHOWING SNOW/RAIN LEVEL
GDAS Observations 
GFS MODEL OBS DATA
Metcheck CET 
CENTRAL ENGLAND TEMPERATURE
Teleconnections 
NAO/AO ETC

 

Chance Of Clear Skies 
MOON AND STARS?
Clear Air Turbulence 
BUMPY LANDINGS?
Frost Maps 
LATEST FORECASTS FOR FROST/ICE
GHX Risk Charts 
RISK OF RAIN MAPS
GHX Risk Charts Ext 
30 DAY RISK MAPS
Haines Index Charts 
WILDFIRE RISK
Humifeel Charts 
HOT AND SWEATY?
Probability Charts 
557WW PROBABILITIES
Snow Maps 
RAIN OR SNOW?
Storm Maps 
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED?
UV Index Forecast 
SLIP SLOP SLAP
Visibility Charts 
MIST/FOG
Weather Alarm Global 
HIGH RES ADVERSE WEATHER
Weather Alarm Regional 
HIGH RES ADVERSE WEATHER
Weather Charts Archive 
ARCHIVED CHARTS
Weather Icon Charts 
ICON BASED CHARTS
Air Quality/Pollen 
ATCHOO! COUGH!
Average Temperatures 
WHATS THE NORM?
Calendars 
ADD FORECASTS TO CALENDARS
Climatic Deviation 
WARMER OR COLDER?
Cloudwatch 
CLOUD CROSS SECTION
Ensemble Data 
MODEL ENSEMBLES
Ensemble Risk 
RISK OF RAIN ETC
Ensemble Risk Ext 
30 DAY RISK OF RAIN ETC
Global Forecasts 
GLOBAL FORECASTS
Laundry Drying 
PANTS REALLY...
Next Month 
NEXT MONTH OUTLOOK
Pollen Type Forecasts 
TREE AND GRASS POLLEN
Skew-T Forecasts 
ATMOSPHERIC PROFILES
Snowwatch 
SNOW FORECAST DATA
Stormwatch 
STORM FORECAST DATA
The Week Ahead 
WEEK AHEAD AVERAGES
The Year Ahead 
UK SINGULARITIES
When Will It Next 
MODEL SCANNER

 

ARCUS 
SUPER ENSEMBLE CHARTS
ARPEGE 
METEO FRANCE
ECMWF 
EURO MODEL
ECMWF AI 
EURO AI MODEL
Fourcast AI 
NVIDIA AI MODEL
GEM 
CANADIAN MODEL
GFS 
NCEP GFS MODEL
GFS Animated 
GFS ANIMATED
GFS Archive 
ARCHIVED CHARTS
GFS Graphcast AI 
GFS AI MODEL
Global Model Verification 
PREVIOUS FORECASTS FOR TODAY
ICON 
DWD MODEL
JMA 
JAPANESE MET AGENCY
NASA GEOS5 
NASA MODEL
NAVGEM 
NAVGEM
Pangu AI 
HUAWEI AI MODEL
SL-AV Model 
RUSSIAN MODEL
ALADIN 
METEO FRANCE FOR UK
ALARO 
BELGIAN RMI MODEL
ARCUS UK 
UK SUPER ENSEMBLE
Arome 
METEO FRANCE FOR UK
Arome Caribbean 
METEO FRANCE FOR CARIBBEAN
Arome Indian Ocean 
HI RES FOR MAURITIUS
Arpege 
METEO FRANCE FOR EUROPE
GFS Regional 
HI RES PLUS DATA
HRRR 
NCEP FOR USA
ICON 
DWD MODEL
ICON D2 
DWD HI RES MODEL
NAM 
NCEP FOR USA
RAP Model 
NCEP FOR USA
RDPS Model 
CANADIAN MODEL
UK RAP Model 
NCEP HI RES MODEL
ECMWF Wave 
ECMWF WAVE
EMFWAM 
METEO FRANCE EUROPE
EWAM 
DWD EUROPE
GMFWAM 
METEO FRANCE GLOBAL
GWAM 
DWD GLOBAL
GWVE 
GFS GLOBAL
Sea Temperatures 
TEMPERATURES + ANOMALY
557WW Ensembles 
ENSEMBLE AVERAGES
CFS Ensembles 
ENSEMBLE AVERAGES
ECMWF Ensembles 
ENSEMBLE AVERAGES
GEM Ensembles 
ENSEMBLE AVERAGES
GFS Ensembles 
ENSEMBLE MODEL DATA
ICON D2 Ensembles 
HIGH RES ENSEMBLES
ICON Ensembles 
ENSEMBLE AVERAGES
ICON Europe Ensembles 
EUROPEAN ENSEMBLES
CanSIPS Seasonal 
SEASONAL CHARTS
CFS Seasonal Charts 
6 MONTH FORECASTS
Long Range Charts 
SUPER LONG RANGE WEATHER
Hurricane Models 
HI RES FLOATER MODEL
Tropical Weather Models 
TROPICAL MODEL OUTLOOK
Air Quality/Pollen Charts 
ATCHOO!
Dust Charts 
DUST/AEROSOL CHARTS
Jet Stream 
NCEP GFS JET STREAM
Jet Stream Archive 
ARCHIVED CHARTS
Stratosphere Forecasts 
UPPER AIR CHARTS
Synoptic Charts 
FRONTS AND ISOBARS

 

Forecast Challenge 
CHALLENGE US
Gallery 
USER PICTURE GALLERY
MyMetcheck 
MYMETCHECK
Weather Reports 
YOUR WEATHER REPORTS

 

Add Club Location 
ADD YOUR CLUB LOCATIION TO OUR DATABASE
Astronomy 
STARRY STARRY NIGHTS
Aviation 
UP UP AND AWAY
Camping 
CAMPING IT UP
Canoeing 
ESKIMO ROOOOLL
Climbing 
AFRAID OF HEIGHTS?
Cricket 
HOWZAT!
Croquet 
CROQUET WEATHER FORECASTS
Cycling 
I LOVE TO RIDE MY...
Diving 
DEEP BREATH
Fishing 
CHANCE OF A CATCH
Gardening 
PRUNING WEATHER
Golf 
HOLE IN ONE
Horse Riding 
GIDDY UP!
Jogging 
JOGGING WEATHER
Kiteboarding 
COAST WEATHER
Model Aviation 
MODEL AVIATION / ROCKET FORECASTS
Mountain Biking 
MOUNTAIN FORECASTS
Mountains & Hills 
MOUNTAIN RANGES
Paragliding 
WHERE EAGLES FLY
Polo 
HORSEY WEATHER
Rambling/Walking 
WEATHER FOR RAMBLING AND WALKING
Rowing 
LAKE WEATHER
Sailing 
INSHORE FORECASTS
Skydiving 
UPPER AIR FORECASTS
Surfing 
BEACH BREAK FORECASTS
Tennis 
TENNIS FORECASTS
Windsurfing 
BEACH FORECASTS
Air Shows 
FLY PASSES
Firework Displays 
BANG! WHOOSH! WEEE!
Royal Shows 
BULLS AND ROSETTES
Weekend Attractions 
WEEKEND ATTRACTIONS
Festivals 
ALL OUR FESTIVALS
Music Artist Tours 
WHO IS TOURING?
Formula 1 
WEATHER FOR F1 RACES
Formula 1 E 
WEATHER FOR F1E RACES
MotoGP 
WEATHER FOR MOTOGP
Red Arrows Displays 
WHERE ARE THEY NEXT?
Red Arrows Live 
ROGER ROGER TANGO
Rugby Union 
RUGBY WEATHER
UK Football Leagues 
PREMIER ETC
World Football Leagues 
MORE FOOTBALL
Champions League 
EVERY MATCH FORECAST
Europa Conference 
EVERY MATCH FORECAST
Europa League 
EVERY MATCH FORECASTS
Horseracing 
FORECASTS AND CALENDAR
IPL Cricket 
HOWZAT!
UEFA Nations League 
CMON ENGLAND!
Arc de Triomphe 
ARC DE TRIOMPHE WEATHER
Autumn Internationals 
AUTUMN INTERNATIONAL WEATHER
Breeders Cup 
BREEDERS CUP WEATHER
Burghley Horse Trials 
BURGHLEY HORSE TRIALS WEATHER
Champions Day Ascot 
CHAMPIONS DAY ASCOT WEATHER
Darts - Lakeside 
DARTS - LAKESIDE WEATHER
Im a Celebrity Jungle 
IM A CELEBRITY JUNGLE WEATHER
Presidents Cup 
PRESIDENTS CUP WEATHER
Solheim Cup 
SOLHEIM CUP WEATHER

 

Discussion Archive 
ALL OUR OLD DISCUSSIONS
Discussions 
METEOROLOGISTS DISCUSSIONS
Event Discussions 
METEOROLOGISTS DISCUSSIONS
Eye In The Sky 
HI RES SATELLITE STUFF
Eye In The Sky Archive 
LOADSA IMAGES
Frontpage Archive 
ALL OUR RAMBLINGS
GFS Commentary 
METEOROLOGISTS LIVE DISCUSSIONS
Global Discussions 
AROUND THE WORLD
Global Discussions Archive 
AROUND THE WORLD
Live Daily Feed 
LATEST WEATHER INFO
Live Discussions 
EXPERT IMAGE ANALYSIS
Snow Discussion 
OFFICIAL FORECAST
Snow Discussion Archive 
OLD SNOW DISCUSSIONS
Storm Discussion 
METEOROLOGISTS STORM DISCUSSIONS
Storm Discussion Archive 
OLD STORM DISCUSSIONS

 

Construction 
CRANES/CEMENT
Developers 
FREE DATA
Electricity Demand 
HDD/CDD
Farming 
FARMING FORECASTS
GHX Model 
OUR WEATHER MODEL
Retail Demand 
SALE NOW ON!
Weather Stickies 
WEATHER ON YOUR SITE

 

Search Metcheck


Go

Latest Weather Reports

Visit ►

Julian from CV36 ▼

 Good morning, Overnight low of 9c, Cloudy sky from midnight and dry, Total rain fall in 2... NEW!

Stu (by the Thames) from Catford ▼

 Morning all...skies are mostly clear but there are areas of cloud about. The moon, however...

Chris @HWN from Honiton ▼

  Good Morning from Honiton. The day will begin with some mist patches but mainly cloudy ...

Pages Now Trending

Visit ►
▲ Radar Latest Radar Images
▼ Aurora Forecast Northern Lights
▼ Global Radar World Radar Images
◄► Live Discussions Expert Image Analysis
▼ GFS Ncep Gfs Model
▼ Lightning Strikes Live Lightning Strikes
◄► Aviation Up Up And Away
▼ Clear Air Turbulence Bumpy Landings?
◄► Eye In The Sky Hi Res Satellite Stuff
▼ Global Discussions Around The World

Other Section Pages

- Discussion Archive  

    All Our Old Discussions

- Discussions  

    Meteorologists discussions

- Event Discussions  

    Meteorologists discussions

- Eye In The Sky  

    Hi Res Satellite Stuff

- Eye In The Sky Archive  

    Loadsa Images

- Frontpage Archive  

    All Our Ramblings

- GFS Commentary  

    Meteorologists Live Discussions

- Global Discussions  

    Around The World

- Global Discussions Archive  

    Around The World

- Live Daily Feed  

    Latest Weather Info

- Live Discussions  

    Expert Image Analysis

- Snow Discussion Archive  

    Old Snow Discussions

- Storm Discussion  

    Meteorologists Storm Discussions

- Storm Discussion Archive  

    Old Storm Discussions

Metcheck Forecasters Discussions

Discussion

Heat And Plume Hunt

Added : Sunday at 14:00

A pretty quiet week in store with high pressure near to or over the UK bringing plenty of quiet weather and temperatures close to normal for the end of May.

As we head towards the first month of summer we always get asked when the first heatwave is coming or when the first Spanish plume bringing thundery weather will appear. However, much like winter and the risk of snow , it is usually the second half of the season that brings the greatest chances of such events and this is due to the seasonal lag.

Seasonal lag is the phenomenon whereby the date of maximum average air temperature is delayed until some time after the date of maximum insolation (the Summer Solstice). This is why August is a hotter month on average than May despite August seeing later sunrises and earlier sunsets. Equally, this is why February is often a colder month than December following the Winter Solstice.

It doesn't stop us looking though as any time from May until September can bring hot weather to our shores, just like wintry weather can occur in November or December.

At the current time we are monitoring the potential for something warmer, and perhaps more thundery, to develop around the turn of the month. This is because the main forecast models are hinting at high pressure setting up to the east which would allow a warmer feed of air to move in.

The ECMWF ► 00z run showed this:



The GEM also hinting at something warmer:



The GFS ► hinting at something similar, but with high pressure centred further north so that warmer air over Europe is slower to move in:



It does get there by day 10 on this run:



Still low confidence but a trend towards a warmer outlook is certainly there. However, you will probably notice how pressure is falling from the south on that last chart which could potentially bring the risk of some thundery weather moving up from the south. This is even lower confidence though and, as the GEM shows, the settled weather could well continue:



METEOROLOGIST: BARBER

Archived Past Discussions

Help & Information

New Today On Metcheck

1 NEW frontpage article
- Staying Fine For Most

1 NEW live discussion
- Read ►

3 NEW weather reports
- Read/Add ►

The global models bring an end to the Easterly over the weekend with a more Atlantic style scenarion possible for next week...

Added : 17 hours ago

An Easterly wind develops across the UK, wildfires in Portugal and Ex-Typhoon Bebinka moving inland today...

Added : 10 hours ago

A dry start across the UK with cloud and mist for Central and Eastern areas as the Easterly continues...

Added : Just Now!

Want to see where precipitation is dropping out of the sky right now across the UK? No worries, check out the 15 minute radar below which loops through the last 6 hours of information.

Toys Similar To This :-

Whoah! How clever is this? The Metcheck Thunderstorm Tracker Satellite allows you to see the developing storms across Western Europe and tells you whether they are growing or decaying. Every 15 minutes we take a snapshot of the cloud cover then measure the temperature and height of the clouds and show you whether the area of clouds are developing into thunderstorms and what direction they are moving in.

Toys Similar To This :-

Live weather data from around the country displayed on Google Maps

Toys Similar To This :-

These are the latest NCEP GFS model weather charts at Metcheck.

Toys Similar To This :-

You probably hear a lot about the Jet Stream in the news. It's either too far North or too far South. The jet stream is identified as winds at 300mb (during Winter) and 200mb (during Summer). It is these winds which are responsible for driving and developing weather systems across the Atlantic.

Metchecks own GHX model charts out to 240 hours ahead

Toys Similar To This :-

The Metcheck 7 Day Forecast takes the best from the GFS weather models and displays it in easy to read maps for the UK out to the next 192 hours ahead.

The Metcheck 7 Day Forecast takes the best from the GFS weather models and displays it in easy to read maps for the UK out to the next 192 hours ahead.

Showing you where frost and ice is expected to develop out to 16 days ahead.

Toys Similar To This :-

Pages Now Trending

Visit ►
▲ Radar Latest Radar Images
▼ Aurora Forecast Northern Lights
▼ Global Radar World Radar Images
◄► Live Discussions Expert Image Analysis
▼ GFS Ncep Gfs Model
▼ Lightning Strikes Live Lightning Strikes
◄► Aviation Up Up And Away
▼ Clear Air Turbulence Bumpy Landings?
◄► Eye In The Sky Hi Res Satellite Stuff
▼ Global Discussions Around The World
 
Back To Top ▲

Interactive

Social Media

Apps

- Weather Reports
- Weather Gallery
- About Metcheck
- Contact Us
- Facebook
- Twitter
- Our Apps

Learning

Settings

Data

- Knowledge Base
- Glossary
- Change Units
- Data Verification
- Site Bugs
- Site Changes
- Data Status
- Weather Stickies
- Raw JSON Data
- Raw GRIB Data
Legal restrictions and terms of use - Metcheck Cookie Policy/Settings
©1999-2024 Metcheck.com - All Rights Reserved [Site Version : v10.1.37]