Improving Early Next WeekAdded : Saturday at 11:29 The school summer holiday's are underway and after a lot of fine and dry weather during May and June it probably comes as no surprise to hear that low pressure is dominating the weather for the start of the peak holiday season. So if you're holidaying at home, the question on everyone's lips is how long will it remain changeable for or will the weather improve?
Here's today's synoptic chart:
Low pressure close to the southwest is well and truly in charge with a band of rain associated with the cold front pushing northwards across northern England and southern Scotland whilst heavy showers associated with the wraparound for this low are coming into the south and southwest - as shown nicely on this morning's storm satellite image and the rainfall radar:
If we take a look at the forecast chart for tomorrow now:
The low is beginning to pull away to the east but we're expecting another showery day and some of those showers could become heavy with a risk of hail and thunder once again:
It's not all bad news though as for many parts of northern Scotland, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland the showers will be fewer and further between with many of these areas staying dry and fine which will be a welcome change if you're in these regions as you've missed out on a lot of the fine weather so far this summer.
As we go into the new week conditions will tend to improve more widely for a time as a ridge of high pressure tries to build in. This will kill off the showers and bring more in the way of drier, brighter and somewhat warmer weather. On Monday though a brisk northerly wind will pick up for a time which will make it feel rather cool:
However by Tuesday that ridge of high pressure brings a dry and fine day to most areas with temperatures picking up a touch as a result:
Thereafter there is some uncertainty amongst the model output but the favoured outcome is for something rather more changeable to develop again by the middle of the week as the next Atlantic weather system comes in. Here's the latest GFS:
The UKMO model:
And here's the ECMWF's take:
Some differences on the handling of that Atlantic low but something to watch in the next few days. In the meantime after a showery weekend, many areas will become drier and brighter for a time early next week before probably turning more changeable again by midweek.
METEOROLOGIST: BARBER |