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Metcheck GFS Commentary Archive

Archive Commentary (Most Recent Commentary)


Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+06 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
Good morning everyone! Welcome to Sunday morning's commentary starting with high pressure building in across the country today to settle things down...

Latest Model Run at T+06Previous Model Run at T+06

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+30 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
Monday is looking fine and dry for most places thanks to high pressure over the southwest but some early rain and drizzle in the northeast thanks to a warm front.

Latest Model Run at T+30Previous Model Run at T+30

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+54 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
High pressure still extends across much of the country on Tuesday but a frontal system brings cloud and rain into the northwest.

Latest Model Run at T+54Previous Model Run at T+54

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+78 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
Into Wednesday and the Autumn Equinox. The GFS still with this shallow low close to the northeast bringing rain or showers here but high pressure building back in from the west.

Latest Model Run at T+78Previous Model Run at T+78

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+102 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
Thursday sees high pressure drifting across Britain and Ireland with the next band of rain approaching the northwest.

Latest Model Run at T+102Previous Model Run at T+102

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+126 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
By Friday that rain continues to edge into much of the north and west but the south and east remains fine and warm under a ridge of high pressure

Latest Model Run at T+126Previous Model Run at T+126

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+150 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 20 September 2026 )
Finally, T+150 and the high pressure ridge fading slightly quicker on this run but still plenty of dry weather around as we head into next weekend. That's the commentary, charts continue out to T+384 and enjoy the rest of your weekend!

Latest Model Run at T+150Previous Model Run at T+150

Previous 10 Days Discussion Archives.

6Z Run on Sunday 20 September
12Z Run on Saturday 19 September
12Z Run on Friday 18 September
12Z Run on Thursday 17 September
12Z Run on Wednesday 16 September
12Z Run on Tuesday 15 September
12Z Run on Monday 14 September
12Z Run on Sunday 13 September
12Z Run on Saturday 12 September

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High pressure dominates as we head through the Autumn Equinox, bringing plenty of dry and settled weather with some pleasantly warm September sunshine, especially towards the south...

Added : 18 hours ago

Sunday sunshine for much of Britain and Ireland, Typhoon Dujuan bearing down on Japan, and Tropical Storm Fay over the Tropical Atlantic basin...

Added : 11 hours ago

Rain across Northwestern areas of the UK as high pressure develops to the South and a cooler start for Central and Southern areas...

Added : 2 hours ago

Want to see where precipitation is dropping out of the sky right now across the UK? No worries, check out the 15 minute radar below which loops through the last 6 hours of information.

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Whoah! How clever is this? The Metcheck Thunderstorm Tracker Satellite allows you to see the developing storms across Western Europe and tells you whether they are growing or decaying. Every 15 minutes we take a snapshot of the cloud cover then measure the temperature and height of the clouds and show you whether the area of clouds are developing into thunderstorms and what direction they are moving in.

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These are the latest NCEP GFS model weather charts at Metcheck.

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You probably hear a lot about the Jet Stream in the news. It's either too far North or too far South. The jet stream is identified as winds at 300mb (during Winter) and 200mb (during Summer). It is these winds which are responsible for driving and developing weather systems across the Atlantic.

Metchecks own GHX model charts out to 240 hours ahead

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The Metcheck 7 Day Forecast takes the best from the GFS weather models and displays it in easy to read maps for the UK out to the next 192 hours ahead.

The Metcheck 7 Day Forecast takes the best from the GFS weather models and displays it in easy to read maps for the UK out to the next 192 hours ahead.

Showing you where frost and ice is expected to develop out to 16 days ahead.

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