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Archive Commentary (Most Recent Commentary)


Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+06 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Good morning everyone! Welcome to Sunday morning's 06z GFS commentary and it's all about the heat building this week. For today we have high pressure building across the country with just a slight risk of a shower in the east.

Latest Model Run at T+06Previous Model Run at T+06

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+30 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Tomorrow sees temperatures rising as we start to import the very warm air over the near continent but high pressure keeps most places fine although late showers/thunderstorms are possible in places.

Latest Model Run at T+30Previous Model Run at T+30

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+54 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Temperatures continue to rise on Tuesday with much of the south seeing values into the low-mid thirties.

Latest Model Run at T+54Previous Model Run at T+54

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+78 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Remaining mostly fine and settled on Wednesday with exceptionally high temperatures towards the south of the UK along with much of western Europe.

Latest Model Run at T+78Previous Model Run at T+78

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+108 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Thursday is another very warm or hot day for many places but pressure is falling from the west in the first signs of a pattern change...

Latest Model Run at T+108Previous Model Run at T+108

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+126 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Friday sees the hot air slowly moving away to the east as cooler, more showery conditions start to push in from the west.

Latest Model Run at T+126Previous Model Run at T+126

Analysis by Metcheck HQ for T+150 Timestep (6Z run on Sunday 21 June 2026 )
Into next weekend and the southeast of England is still very warm but for many it is turning cooler from the west with some showers. That's the commentary, charts continue out to T+384 and enjoy your Sunday afternoon!

Latest Model Run at T+150Previous Model Run at T+150

Previous 10 Days Discussion Archives.

6Z Run on Sunday 21 June
12Z Run on Friday 19 June
12Z Run on Thursday 18 June
12Z Run on Wednesday 17 June
12Z Run on Tuesday 16 June
12Z Run on Monday 15 June
12Z Run on Saturday 13 June

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Exceptional heat builds across parts of the British Isles this week with some records under threat and very warm nights becoming an increasing concern...

Added : 10 hours ago

Increasing sunshine and temperatures across Britain and Ireland, Tropical Storm Mekkhala showing signs of intensifying, and a look at the Arctic basin on the Summer Solstice...

Added : 9 hours ago

A fine end to the day for many places with the odd shower in the southwest and temperatures on the warm side in the south...

Added : 6 hours ago

Want to see where precipitation is dropping out of the sky right now across the UK? No worries, check out the 15 minute radar below which loops through the last 6 hours of information.

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You probably hear a lot about the Jet Stream in the news. It's either too far North or too far South. The jet stream is identified as winds at 300mb (during Winter) and 200mb (during Summer). It is these winds which are responsible for driving and developing weather systems across the Atlantic.

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Showing you where frost and ice is expected to develop out to 16 days ahead.

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