Low pressure will be firmly in control of our weather today bringing an unsettled day to many regions with bands of heavy and potentially thundery rain moving northwards across much of the country. It will remain rather warm and humid too, particularly across England and Wales, but fresher conditions will begin to push in from the west tomorrow.
Thursday begins with an area of heavy and thundery rain pushing northwards across central and southern parts of England and Wales. As this band pushes northwards today some of the rain could be torrential at times with thunder and lightning, while the slow-moving nature of the system responsible means that a few places could see significant rainfall totals over a relatively short period bringing the risk of some localised flash flooding. Through the morning and into the afternoon this band of rain will continue to make gradual progress northwards across Wales, the Midlands and northern England. There is likely to be considerable variation from place to place, with some areas seeing prolonged spells of heavy rain while others experience brief showers with brighter intervals in between.
Brighter conditions will gradually follow from the south and southeast during the day, with some spells of warm sunshine developing by this afternoon, but this could then set off some further scattered heavy or thundery showers. Meanwhile, for many parts of Ireland, Northern Ireland and much of Scotland it will be a mostly dry day with sunny spells for much of the time, although a few showers could break out by this afternoon and outbreaks of rain may push into southeast Ireland. It will remain warm and rather muggy, particularly across England and Wales, with temperatures generally reaching the high teens or low twenties and locally into the mid to high twenties towards southeast England this afternoon where longer spells of sunshine develop.
As we head into this evening and tonight, the main area of rain will continue to push northwards into northern England and parts of Scotland, Ireland and Northern Ireland. The far northwest may remain mostly dry while many parts of England and Wales will turn drier with some mist and low cloud forming by morning. Looking ahead to tomorrow, as low pressure starts to pull away to the northeast, further showers or longer spells of rain are expected in many regions before drier, cooler and fresher conditions develop from the west as a north-westerly wind picks up.
METEOROLOGIST : BARBER
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